University of Houston

J. Tyson Chatagnier

Publications

Here, you can find my published works, including links to articles and, where applicable, replication materials. If you have trouble accessing any of these works, please email me, and I will be happy to make them available to you.

Book

  1. Mintz, Alex, J. Tyson Chatagnier, and Yair Samban. 2019. Terrorist Decision-Making: A Leader-Centric Approach. New York: Routledge Press.

    [Amazon Link]

Journal Articles

  1. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. Forthcoming. Presidential Appointments of Military Veterans.” Presidential Studies Quarterly.

    [Link to Article]

  2. Yildirim, Aydin B. and J. Tyson Chatagnier. 2025. “Global Value Chain Trade and Sanction Bypass: Evidence From the United States.” Frontiers in Political Science 7.

    [Link to Article]

  3. Giray, Burak and J. Tyson Chatagnier. 2024. “Election Accomplished: Democracies and the Timing of Peacekeeper Drawdowns.” Political Research Quarterly 77(1): 3–16.

    [Link to Article]

  4. Chatagnier, J. Tyson and Jonathan D. Klingler. 2023. “Would You Like to Know More? Selection, Socialization, and Veterans’ Preferences.” Political Research Quarterly 76(3): 1209–1223.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  5. Chatagnier, J. Tyson and Haeyong Lim. 2021. “Does the WTO Exacerbate International Conflict?” Journal of Peace Research 58(5): 1068–1082.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  6. Kavaklı, Kerim Can, J. Tyson Chatagnier, and Emre Hatipoğlu. 2020. “The Power to Hurt and the Effectiveness of International Sanctions.” Journal of Politics 82(3): 879–894.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  7. Arnold, Jeffrey B., J. Tyson Chatagnier, and Gary E. Hollibaugh, Jr. 2020. “Allegiance, Ability, and Achievement in the American Civil War: Commander Traits and Battlefield Military Effectiveness.” International Studies Quarterly 64(1): 194–206.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  8. Chatagnier, J. Tyson and Emanuele Castelli. 2019. “The Arc of Modernization: Economic Structure, Materialism, and the Onset of Civil Conflict.” Political Science Research and Methods 7(2): 233–252.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  9. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. 2019. “Civil War Mediation and Integration into Global Value Chains.” International Interactions 45(1): 198–214.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  10. Yildirim, Aydin, Arlo Poletti, J. Tyson Chatagnier, and Dirk De Bièvre. 2018. “The Globalization of Production and the Politics of Dispute Initiation at the World Trade Organization.” Global Policy 9(S2): 38–48.

    [Link to Article]

  11. Yildirim, Aydin B., J. Tyson Chatagnier, Arlo Poletti, and Dirk De Bièvre. 2018. “The Internationalization of Production and the Politics of Compliance in WTO Disputes.” Review of International Organizations 13(1): 49–75.

    [Link to Article] [Web Appendix] [Replication Materials]

  12. Chatagnier, J. Tyson and Kerim Can Kavaklı. 2017. “From Economic Competition to Military Combat: Export Similarity and International Conflict.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 61(7): 1510–1536.

    [Link to Article] [Web Appendix] [Replication Materials] [Updated Export Similarity Measures (1962–2020)]

  13. Chatagnier, J. Tyson and Emanuele Castelli. 2016. “A Modern Peace?: Schumpeter, Conflict, and the Investment-War Tradeoff.” Political Research Quarterly 69(4): 852–864.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  14. Poletti, Arlo, Dirk De Bièvre, and J. Tyson Chatagnier. 2015. “Cooperation in the Shadow of WTO Law: Why Litigate When You Can Negotiate?” World Trade Review 14(S1): S33–S58.

    [Link to Article]

  15. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. 2015. “Conflict Bargaining as a Signal to Third Parties.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 27(2): 237–268.

    [Link to Article]

  16. Klingler, Jonathan D. and J. Tyson Chatagnier. 2014. “Are You Doing Your Part? Veterans’ Political Attitudes, and Heinlein’s Conception of Citizenship.” Armed Forces & Society 40(4): 673–695.

    [Link to Article] [Replication Materials]

  17. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. 2014. “Teaching the Enemy: The Empirical Implications of Bargaining Under Observation.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(6): 1033–1058.

    [Link to Article] [Web Appendix] [Replication Materials]

  18. Castelli, Emanuele and J. Tyson Chatagnier. 2013. “From Democracy to Capitalism: The War Over the Liberal Peace.” Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica 43(3): 435–453.

    [Link to Article]

  19. Chatagnier, J. Tyson, Alex Mintz, and Yair Samban. 2012. “The Decision Calculus of Terrorist Leaders.” Perspectives on Terrorism 6(4–5): 126–145.

    [Link to Article]

  20. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. 2012. “The Effect of Trust in Government on Rallies ’Round the Flag.” Journal of Peace Research 49(5): 631–645.

    [Link to Article] [Web Appendix] [Replication Materials]

Book Chapters

  1. Chatagnier, J. Tyson, Arlo Poletti, and Aydin B. Yildirim. 2022. “The Strategic Calculus of WTO Dispute Initiation.” In Wei Liang and Ka Zeng, eds., Research Handbook on Trade Wars.

  2. Mintz, Alex and John Tyson Chatagnier. 2020. “Poliheuristic Theory, Applied Decision Analysis, and Group Decision Making.” In Dave Redlawsk, ed., Oxford Encyclopedia of Politics.

  3. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. 2020. “Using Applied Decision Analysis to Understand Foreign Policy Decision-making: A Meta-Analysis.” In Alex Mintz and Lesley Terris, eds., Oxford Handbook of Behavioral Political Science.

  4. Friedman, Leehe, Yair Samban, John Tyson Chatagnier, and Alex Mintz. 2019. “The Decision Calculus of Khaled Mashal.” In Alex Mintz and Dmitry Adamsky, eds., How Do Leaders Make Decisions?: Evidence from the East and West, Part B.

  5. Chatagnier, J. Tyson. 2017. “Robert Gilpin: War and the Resolution of Systemic Disequilibrium.” In Filippo Andreatta, ed., Classic Works in International Relations.

  6. Mintz, Alex, J. Tyson Chatagnier, and David J. Brulé. 2006. “Being bin Laden: An Applied Decision Analysis Procedure for Analyzing and Predicting Terrorist Decisions.” In Ami Pedahzur, ed., Suicide Terrorism: Root Causes of the Culture of Death.

Policy Reports

  1. Lucarelli, Sonia, Michela Ceccorulli, Enrico Fassi, Veronica Lenzi, Francesco Niccolò Moro, Matteo Villa, Federico Casprini, Emanuele Castelli, Tyson Chatagnier, and Kerim Can Kavaklı. 2014. PREDICT - Projections and Relevant Effects of Demographic Implications, Changes, and Trends. Prepared for NATO – Allied Command Transformation.

    [Link to Report]